FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.31 – 167

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

174 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 71.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.9 ±12.8

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 48.65Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 36.22Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7225Mechatronic Mustangs

Season APEX 55Event APEX 45.44Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.7 ±11.7

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 52.12Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 102.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 12.35Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5676, 4216, 7225

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5676, 4216, 7225

Auto

29.7 24%

Teleop

58.5 47%

Endgame

35.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1481, 5144, 6556

/ 100 compat

Projected

167 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1481, 5144, 6556

Auto

29.9 19%

Teleop

87.3 56%

Endgame

39.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.3pts

Blue projected score167pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.7
Score range: 102–195
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 152.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.9Season APEX341.7

29.7Auto29.9

58.5Teleop87.3

35.3Endgame39.8

59Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	39
teleop	76	163
endgame	66	65
foul	0	0
total	174	267

Result

Final score

174 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 71.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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