FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.29 – 101.01

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.6 ±13.9

9753Team Success

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX -3.18Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 34.49Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 25.98Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±11.6

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX -1.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 90.17Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 11.95Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9753, 5205, 11460

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9753, 5205, 11460

Auto

21.4 34%

Teleop

30.2 48%

Endgame

10.8 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5530, 4422, 11387

/ 100 compat

Projected

101 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5530, 4422, 11387

Auto

29.2 30%

Teleop

60.9 62%

Endgame

7.6 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.3pts

Blue projected score101pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.7
Score range: 29–129
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 154.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.6Season APEX343.8

21.4Auto29.2

30.2Teleop60.9

10.8Endgame7.6

72Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	27
teleop	37	79
endgame	28	30
foul	0	0
total	73	136

Result

Final score

73 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.