Qualification · Qualification 38
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
190.35 – 8.83
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
279 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 71.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 66.01Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 17.37Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 106.97Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -17.54Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101.3Event APEX 7.9Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 18.47Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7501, 11444, 3668
73
/ 100 compatProjected
190.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7501, 11444, 3668
Auto
34.6 19%
Teleop
95.0 52%
Endgame
54.5 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9212, 9312, 8300
24
/ 100 compatProjected
8.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9212, 9312, 8300
Auto
6.5 41%
Teleop
6.9 43%
Endgame
2.5 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score190.4pts
Blue projected score8.8pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 181.5
- Score range
- -19–218
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
268.1Season APEX219.8
34.6Auto6.5
95Teleop6.9
54.5Endgame2.5
39Consistency85
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 27 |
| teleop | 130 | 18 |
| endgame | 47 | 18 |
| foul | 55 | 0 |
| total | 279 | 63 |
Result
Final score
279 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 71.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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