Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.358.83

91%9%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

27963

Prediction correct · off by 71.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 66.01Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 17.37Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 106.97Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -17.54Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101.3Event APEX 7.9Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 18.47Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7501, 11444, 3668
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
190.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7501, 11444, 3668
Auto
34.6 19%
Teleop
95.0 52%
Endgame
54.5 30%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9212, 9312, 8300
24
/ 100 compat
Projected
8.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 9212, 9312, 8300
Auto
6.5 41%
Teleop
6.9 43%
Endgame
2.5 16%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score190.4pts
Blue projected score8.8pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
181.5
Score range
-19218
Upset likelihood
9%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 154.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.1Season APEX219.8
34.6Auto6.5
95Teleop6.9
54.5Endgame2.5
39Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4727
teleop13018
endgame4718
foul550
total27963

Result

Final score

27963

Prediction correct · off by 71.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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