FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.48 – 165.22

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

170 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.8 ±10.5

862Lightning Robotics

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 55.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 13.09Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 31.25Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.8 ±12.8

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 13.06Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5205FullMetal-Jackets

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 35.89Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 116.27Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 862, 3773, 1481

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 862, 3773, 1481

Auto

35.2 40%

Teleop

35.5 41%

Endgame

16.8 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6556, 5205, 1025

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6556, 5205, 1025

Auto

35.8 22%

Teleop

84.2 51%

Endgame

44.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.5pts

Blue projected score165.2pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.7
Score range: 71–193
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 153.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.8Season APEX255.8

35.2Auto35.8

35.5Teleop84.2

16.8Endgame44.9

104Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	40
teleop	89	87
endgame	57	55
foul	5	0
total	170	182

Result

Final score

170 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.