Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
42.96 – 313.63
3%97%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
16 – 259
Prediction correct · off by 40.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 38.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX -3.31Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 7.39Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.2 ±11
Season APEX 92Event APEX 83.68Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 139.79Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 90.16Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5641, 9753, 4568
22
/ 100 compatProjected
43 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5641, 9753, 4568
Auto
0.5 1%
Teleop
39.3 78%
Endgame
10.9 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11386, 9210, 7656
81
/ 100 compatProjected
313.6 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11386, 9210, 7656
Auto
36.5 12%
Teleop
186.7 61%
Endgame
80.4 26%
Strengths
- · 9210 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score43pts
Blue projected score313.6pts
Red win probability3%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -270.7
- Score range
- 15–342
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
145.1Season APEX336.2
0.5Auto36.5
39.3Teleop186.7
10.9Endgame80.4
28Consistency54
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 1 | 39 |
| teleop | 9 | 143 |
| endgame | 6 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 16 | 259 |
Result
Final score
16 – 259
Prediction correct · off by 40.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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