FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

141.92 – 206.36

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

189 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491.7 ±11.7

7221Viking Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 15.43Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 13.97Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 112.52Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.1 ±11.7

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 71.02Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 47.23Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 88.11Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7221, 11387, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7221, 11387, 3414

Auto

31.5 23%

Teleop

69.5 51%

Endgame

35.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4422, 9594, 5144

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4422, 9594, 5144

Auto

33.7 17%

Teleop

118.3 58%

Endgame

51.9 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score141.9pts

Blue projected score206.4pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.4
Score range: 115–233
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 151.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491.7Season APEX349.1

31.5Auto33.7

69.5Teleop118.3

35.1Endgame51.9

49Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	53
teleop	85	121
endgame	61	46
foul	0	60
total	189	280

Result

Final score

189 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 60.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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