FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.07 – 133.54

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±12.2

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 56.76Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 16.79Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 11.52Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.8 ±12.2

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 73.37Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 78.13Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -17.96Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4381, 8300, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4381, 8300, 4216

Auto

26.9 30%

Teleop

26.7 30%

Endgame

35.5 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4003, 7197, 9212

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4003, 7197, 9212

Auto

28.1 20%

Teleop

81.5 59%

Endgame

29.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.1pts

Blue projected score133.5pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.5
Score range: 58–161
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 151.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231Season APEX297.8

26.9Auto28.1

26.7Teleop81.5

35.5Endgame29.3

42Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	19
teleop	63	122
endgame	37	41
foul	0	0
total	128	182

Result

Final score

128 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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