Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
182.03 – 150.7
60%40%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
257 – 143
Prediction correct · off by 41.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 136.23Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55Event APEX 28.83Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 16.97Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 62.87Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 54.84Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 32.99Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2611, 7225, 9183
74
/ 100 compatProjected
182 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2611, 7225, 9183
Auto
28.3 16%
Teleop
114.1 64%
Endgame
37.0 21%
Strengths
- · 2611 anchors offense
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7501, 11496, 11460
62
/ 100 compatProjected
150.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7501, 11496, 11460
Auto
23.9 16%
Teleop
91.8 60%
Endgame
36.4 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score182pts
Blue projected score150.7pts
Red win probability60%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 31.3
- Score range
- 124–209
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
286.6Season APEX209.7
28.3Auto23.9
114.1Teleop91.8
37Endgame36.4
156Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 28 |
| teleop | 129 | 85 |
| endgame | 82 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 257 | 143 |
Result
Final score
257 – 143
Prediction correct · off by 41.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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