Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
144.25 – 149.55
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
163 – 270
Prediction correct · off by 69.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 13.55Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 65.55Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 65.15Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 113.55Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 21.12Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 14.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11444, 4381, 4003
57
/ 100 compatProjected
144.3 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 11444, 4381, 4003
Auto
24.2 16%
Teleop
60.6 41%
Endgame
62.1 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3668, 862, 5641
57
/ 100 compatProjected
149.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3668, 862, 5641
Auto
58.6 43%
Teleop
29.6 22%
Endgame
47.4 35%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score144.3pts
Blue projected score149.5pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -5.3
- Score range
- 118–176
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
251.1Season APEX315.1
24.2Auto58.6
60.6Teleop29.6
62.1Endgame47.4
37Consistency100
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 36 |
| teleop | 83 | 167 |
| endgame | 49 | 67 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 163 | 270 |
Result
Final score
163 – 270
Prediction correct · off by 69.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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