FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.35 – 103.03

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 77.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.1 ±13.3

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -20.65Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 43.68Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6556Spartan Robotics 6556

Season APEX 35Event APEX 33.32Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 314 ±12.8

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 8.43Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2611Jacktown Vectors

Season APEX 182.4Event APEX 95.42Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5239The Royal Stags

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -0.82Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9212, 11387, 6556

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9212, 11387, 6556

Auto

16.0 29%

Teleop

33.7 60%

Endgame

6.3 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4216, 2611, 5239

/ 100 compat

Projected

103 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4216, 2611, 5239

Auto

32.9 32%

Teleop

50.3 49%

Endgame

19.7 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.4pts

Blue projected score103pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.7
Score range: 29–130
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 283 vs event baseline 147.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.1Season APEX314

16Auto32.9

33.7Teleop50.3

6.3Endgame19.7

97Consistency148

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	48
teleop	16	125
endgame	10	69
foul	0	0
total	41	242

Result

Final score

41 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 77.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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