FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

180.31 – 202.19

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

338 – 312

Prediction missed · off by 133.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.8 ±11.7

3668TroBots

Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 86.49Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 24.88Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 68.94Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.3 ±10.5

4381Twisted Devils

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 38.58Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 89.29Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 74.32Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3668, 11496, 1025

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3668, 11496, 1025

Auto

38.6 23%

Teleop

85.0 50%

Endgame

47.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4381, 3414, 7656

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4381, 3414, 7656

Auto

33.7 16%

Teleop

113.7 55%

Endgame

60.5 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score180.3pts

Blue projected score202.2pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.9
Score range: 155–227
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 650 vs event baseline 140.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377.8Season APEX467.3

38.6Auto33.7

85Teleop113.7

47Endgame60.5

176Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	31
teleop	202	176
endgame	87	105
foul	5	0
total	338	312

Result

Final score

338 – 312

Prediction missed · off by 133.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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