FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.45 – 78.09

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.4 ±11.6

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 78.34Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 84.47Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 64.64Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.7 ±12.8

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 43.76Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1481The Riveters

Season APEX 150.4Event APEX 22.41Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9183RoboComets

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 11.92Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4003, 11386, 7501

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4003, 11386, 7501

Auto

29.3 14%

Teleop

139.8 66%

Endgame

44.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9594, 1481, 9183

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9594, 1481, 9183

Auto

15.2 21%

Teleop

42.8 58%

Endgame

15.8 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score227.5pts

Blue projected score78.1pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149.4
Score range: 53–252
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 138.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.4Season APEX265.7

29.3Auto15.2

139.8Teleop42.8

44.3Endgame15.8

60Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	27
teleop	135	66
endgame	74	16
foul	0	0
total	264	109

Result

Final score

264 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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