FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.25 – 90.15

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

137 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.9 ±11.7

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 89Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9312NERD Spark

Season APEX 101.3Event APEX 45.63Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 22.62Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.5 ±13.9

11496Jurassic JayHawks

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 31.75Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5641Byron Robotics

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 20.27Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 38.13Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1025, 9312, 11460

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 9312, 11460

Auto

43.8 29%

Teleop

71.3 47%

Endgame

37.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11496, 5641, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11496, 5641, 4216

Auto

18.9 20%

Teleop

44.6 47%

Endgame

30.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.3pts

Blue projected score90.2pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.1
Score range: 59–188
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 170.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.9Season APEX204.5

43.8Auto18.9

71.3Teleop44.6

37.7Endgame30.9

65Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	13
teleop	49	22
endgame	46	23
foul	0	0
total	137	58

Result

Final score

137 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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