FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.27 – 107.97

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 107.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230 ±13.3

11462Morenci Miswired

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -0.73Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 54.59Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4216Blue Ops Robotics

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 0.41Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327 ±11.7

7197Mountie Megabots

Season APEX 137.4Event APEX 37.99Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 18.02Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4422Twisted Angels

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 51.96Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11462, 7656, 4216

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11462, 7656, 4216

Auto

28.8 54%

Teleop

-1.0 0%

Endgame

26.0 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7197, 11460, 4422

/ 100 compat

Projected

108 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7197, 11460, 4422

Auto

36.5 34%

Teleop

27.9 26%

Endgame

41.9 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.3pts

Blue projected score108pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.7
Score range: 29–133
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 138.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230Season APEX327

28.8Auto36.5

-1Teleop27.9

26Endgame41.9

0Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	40
teleop	74	142
endgame	59	33
foul	0	0
total	163	215

Result

Final score

163 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 107.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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