FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.73 – 49.23

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±11.7

9183RoboComets

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 14.53Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 77.23Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5144LISD TECHnicians

Season APEX 156.3Event APEX 90.97Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.5 ±13.3

9594Ashley Bears

Season APEX 66.1Event APEX 41.35Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -5.08Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5530Greenhills Lawnmowers

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 12.96Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9183, 11386, 5144

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9183, 11386, 5144

Auto

34.9 21%

Teleop

79.1 47%

Endgame

53.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9594, 9212, 5530

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9594, 9212, 5530

Auto

16.8 29%

Teleop

17.8 31%

Endgame

22.6 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score182.7pts

Blue projected score49.2pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.5
Score range: 24–208
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 140.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.5Season APEX174.5

34.9Auto16.8

79.1Teleop17.8

53.5Endgame22.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	16
teleop	136	38
endgame	21	0
foul	15	0
total	210	54

Result

Final score

210 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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