FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.95 – 128.69

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±12.8

11460Olivet Eaglebots

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 37.08Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 54.78Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11444Cougar Claw Robotics

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX 36.09Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.9 ±11.6

11387G.L.E.A.M. - Grass Lake Engineering and Mechanics

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 28.25Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 68.8Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8300Titan Robotics

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 31.64Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11460, 5676, 11444

/ 100 compat

Projected

128 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11460, 5676, 11444

Auto

29.1 23%

Teleop

59.1 47%

Endgame

38.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11387, 1025, 8300

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11387, 1025, 8300

Auto

23.0 17%

Teleop

72.2 55%

Endgame

37.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128pts

Blue projected score128.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.7
Score range: 104–153
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 135.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231Season APEX388.9

29.1Auto23

59.1Teleop72.2

38.1Endgame37.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	38
teleop	31	103
endgame	35	38
foul	0	0
total	97	179

Result

Final score

97 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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