Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
11.15 – 63.75
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
15 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 122 ±13.9
Season APEX 35Event APEX 28.09Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.6Event APEX -19.05Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 2.11Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -17.92Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 45.63Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 36.04Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6556, 9753, 5239
22
/ 100 compatProjected
11.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6556, 9753, 5239
Auto
6.0 44%
Teleop
3.1 23%
Endgame
4.6 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9212, 4422, 4381
41
/ 100 compatProjected
63.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9212, 4422, 4381
Auto
31.1 44%
Teleop
24.4 34%
Endgame
15.7 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score11.1pts
Blue projected score63.8pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -52.6
- Score range
- -14–89
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-17
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
122Season APEX285.4
6Auto31.1
3.1Teleop24.4
4.6Endgame15.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 18 |
| teleop | 2 | 74 |
| endgame | 0 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 15 | 122 |
Result
Final score
15 – 122
Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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