Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
150.22 – 79.14
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
248 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 53 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 144.5Event APEX 72.57Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 143.8Event APEX 74.98Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 2.67Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 13.85Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX -7.28Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 72.57Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3668, 9210, 7221
71
/ 100 compatProjected
150.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3668, 9210, 7221
Auto
22.4 14%
Teleop
80.6 52%
Endgame
51.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9183, 4216, 5205
48
/ 100 compatProjected
79.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9183, 4216, 5205
Auto
15.5 19%
Teleop
32.4 41%
Endgame
32.0 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score150.2pts
Blue projected score79.1pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 71.1
- Score range
- 54–175
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
346.7Season APEX178.5
22.4Auto15.5
80.6Teleop32.4
51.7Endgame32
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 15 |
| teleop | 106 | 31 |
| endgame | 62 | 25 |
| foul | 35 | 0 |
| total | 248 | 71 |
Result
Final score
248 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 53 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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