FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.96 – 58.8

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 243

Prediction missed · off by 145.6 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.3 ±11.6

7656MC Hammers

Season APEX 100.4Event APEX 45.99Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7501Golden Gears

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 30.55Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 37.42Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.6 ±9.8

5676The H.E.R.O.E.S

Season APEX 119.7Event APEX 22.86Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

862Lightning Robotics

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 25.43Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11386Climax-Scotts PantherBots

Season APEX 92Event APEX 10.51Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7656, 7501, 1025

/ 100 compat

Projected

114 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7656, 7501, 1025

Auto

21.6 19%

Teleop

51.6 45%

Endgame

41.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5676, 862, 11386

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5676, 862, 11386

Auto

26.1 44%

Teleop

18.8 32%

Endgame

14.0 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114pts

Blue projected score58.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.2
Score range: 36–137
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 127.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.3Season APEX319.6

21.6Auto26.1

51.6Teleop18.8

41.6Endgame14

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	52
teleop	116	106
endgame	72	50
foul	0	35
total	221	243

Result

Final score

221 – 243

Prediction missed · off by 145.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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