FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.89 – 186.93

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

173 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.1 ±11.7

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 24.17Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8611Cyber Patriots

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 46.73Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 57.99Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.6 ±11.7

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 28.35Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 66.34Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 92.24Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6122, 8611, 9771

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6122, 8611, 9771

Auto

26.6 20%

Teleop

79.7 61%

Endgame

24.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7109, 5982, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7109, 5982, 5535

Auto

30.3 17%

Teleop

105.8 60%

Endgame

40.0 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.9pts

Blue projected score186.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58
Score range: 107–209
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 122.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.1Season APEX285.6

26.6Auto30.3

79.7Teleop105.8

24.2Endgame40

32Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	40
teleop	74	88
endgame	65	49
foul	0	0
total	173	177

Result

Final score

173 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.