FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.24 – 83.78

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

132 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 246.7 ±12.2

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 95.47Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 38.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 36.35Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.4 ±11.7

7911Scrap Cat Robotics Team Puma

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 17.37Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 56.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8286E.A.G.L.E.S. Robotics

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 10.37Rank 40Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 288, 6100, 9176

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 288, 6100, 9176

Auto

23.0 15%

Teleop

92.2 59%

Endgame

42.4 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7911, 3603, 8286

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7911, 3603, 8286

Auto

27.7 39%

Teleop

36.2 52%

Endgame

6.3 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.2pts

Blue projected score83.8pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 86.5
Score range: 63–191
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 119.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

246.7Season APEX277.4

23Auto27.7

92.2Teleop36.2

42.4Endgame6.3

0Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	21
teleop	53	25
endgame	47	19
foul	0	0
total	132	65

Result

Final score

132 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.