Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
169.96 – 61.97
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
133 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 37 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 92.6Event APEX 54.99Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 73.33Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 41.64Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 36.35Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 19.5Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 6.12Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3618, 5982, 7109
77
/ 100 compatProjected
170 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3618, 5982, 7109
Auto
22.2 13%
Teleop
94.6 57%
Endgame
49.6 30%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6100, 5525, 5182
41
/ 100 compatProjected
62 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6100, 5525, 5182
Auto
11.4 15%
Teleop
43.7 59%
Endgame
18.5 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score170pts
Blue projected score62pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 108
- Score range
- 41–191
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
247.3Season APEX141.6
22.2Auto11.4
94.6Teleop43.7
49.6Endgame18.5
0Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 15 |
| teleop | 73 | 50 |
| endgame | 41 | 34 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 133 | 99 |
Result
Final score
133 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 37 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.