FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

393.01 – 71.41

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 423.4 ±11.7

7911Scrap Cat Robotics Team Puma

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 18.11Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 273.28Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 101.62Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.9 ±12.7

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 49.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5878The Great Lakers

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 15.45Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6963Blood Sweat and Gears

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 6.52Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7911, 1918, 288

/ 100 compat

Projected

393 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7911, 1918, 288

Auto

76.3 21%

Teleop

236.3 64%

Endgame

58.1 16%

Strengths

· 1918 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9673, 5878, 6963

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9673, 5878, 6963

Auto

16.8 23%

Teleop

41.2 56%

Endgame

15.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score393pts

Blue projected score71.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 321.6
Score range: 50–414
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 116.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

423.4Season APEX168.9

76.3Auto16.8

236.3Teleop41.2

58.1Endgame15.2

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	29
teleop	205	33
endgame	55	17
foul	0	0
total	353	79

Result

Final score

353 – 79

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.