FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.76 – 125.22

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.5 ±11.7

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 36.95Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5213St. Ignace SHIELD

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 10.4Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 61.41Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.9 ±12.4

8611Cyber Patriots

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 36.53Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 69.58Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5247Red Devil Robotics

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 19.11Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9176, 5213, 3603

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9176, 5213, 3603

Auto

29.1 33%

Teleop

40.1 46%

Endgame

17.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8611, 244, 5247

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8611, 244, 5247

Auto

27.5 22%

Teleop

63.8 52%

Endgame

31.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.8pts

Blue projected score125.2pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.5
Score range: 88–146
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 116.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.5Season APEX219.9

29.1Auto27.5

40.1Teleop63.8

17.8Endgame31.4

55Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	37
teleop	65	48
endgame	16	1
foul	0	0
total	112	86

Result

Final score

112 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.