FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.96 – 93.34

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

261 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 83.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.1 ±11.7

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 54.68Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 91.61Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6005Cardinaltronics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 17.67Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±13.3

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 35Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 54.91Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 3.43Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1718, 288, 6005

/ 100 compat

Projected

164 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 288, 6005

Auto

37.1 23%

Teleop

96.9 59%

Endgame

30.0 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7109, 6077, 5704

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7109, 6077, 5704

Auto

23.2 25%

Teleop

50.8 55%

Endgame

17.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164pts

Blue projected score93.3pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.6
Score range: 72–185
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 116.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.1Season APEX191.6

37.1Auto23.2

96.9Teleop50.8

30Endgame17.6

19Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	29
teleop	178	70
endgame	49	64
foul	0	0
total	261	163

Result

Final score

261 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 83.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.