FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.28 – 187.12

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.8 ±12.2

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 30.3Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5982Merrill's Circuits of Destruction

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 63.07Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5704Weird & Wired

Season APEX 30.9Event APEX 2.91Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405 ±10.7

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 75.66Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 94.23Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7911Scrap Cat Robotics Team Puma

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 17.23Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6122, 5982, 5704

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6122, 5982, 5704

Auto

15.8 17%

Teleop

50.6 54%

Endgame

26.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 244, 7160, 7911

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 244, 7160, 7911

Auto

27.8 16%

Teleop

99.8 58%

Endgame

43.2 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.3pts

Blue projected score187.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.8
Score range: 73–210
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 127.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.8Season APEX405

15.8Auto27.8

50.6Teleop99.8

26.8Endgame43.2

6Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	27
teleop	40	107
endgame	13	37
foul	0	15
total	57	186

Result

Final score

57 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.