FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.95 – 191.53

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.8 ±13.3

9673Volt Vespids

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 48.04Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9731All Saints Range Precision

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -10.69Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7810Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 47Event APEX 23.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 348.4 ±11.7

3603Cyber Coyotes

Season APEX 181.2Event APEX 74.33Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8611Cyber Patriots

Season APEX 65.3Event APEX 62.12Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6077Wiking Kujon

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 55.08Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9673, 9731, 7810

/ 100 compat

Projected

61 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9673, 9731, 7810

Auto

19.4 24%

Teleop

48.9 60%

Endgame

13.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3603, 8611, 6077

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3603, 8611, 6077

Auto

42.0 23%

Teleop

95.6 53%

Endgame

44.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.7 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61pts

Blue projected score191.5pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -130.6
Score range: 40–213
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 117.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.8Season APEX348.4

19.4Auto42

48.9Teleop95.6

13.6Endgame44.4

76Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	9
teleop	31	66
endgame	20	21
foul	0	0
total	71	96

Result

Final score

71 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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