FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

374.33 – 130.59

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

406 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.6 ±11

10421Coded Dragons

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 14.58Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 247.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 112.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.9 ±12.4

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 105.49Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 6.86Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 18.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10421, 1918, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

374.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10421, 1918, 5535

Auto

72.2 21%

Teleop

215.1 62%

Endgame

59.3 17%

Strengths

· 1918 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7160, 6098, 7109

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7160, 6098, 7109

Auto

27.7 20%

Teleop

80.2 57%

Endgame

33.5 24%

Strengths

· 7160 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score374.3pts

Blue projected score130.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 243.7
Score range: 111–394
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 554 vs event baseline 113.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.6Season APEX340.9

72.2Auto27.7

215.1Teleop80.2

59.3Endgame33.5

32Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	94	36
teleop	239	78
endgame	73	34
foul	0	0
total	406	148

Result

Final score

406 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.