FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.88 – 78.65

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 103

Prediction missed · off by 69.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.8 ±11.2

11435St. Peter's High School RaiderBots

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 8.58Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 106.87Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 89.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.9 ±12.8

1718The Fighting Pi

Season APEX 114.8Event APEX 41.26Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9176Greenspire Steel Sturgeons

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 44.56Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9731All Saints Range Precision

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX -7.17Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11435, 288, 244

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11435, 288, 244

Auto

22.6 11%

Teleop

109.5 54%

Endgame

70.1 35%

Strengths

· 288 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1718, 9176, 9731

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1718, 9176, 9731

Auto

23.1 49%

Teleop

17.0 36%

Endgame

6.8 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.9pts

Blue projected score78.6pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.2
Score range: 58–226
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 114.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.8Season APEX202.9

22.6Auto23.1

109.5Teleop17

70.1Endgame6.8

51Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	22
teleop	59	51
endgame	9	30
foul	0	0
total	90	103

Result

Final score

90 – 103

Prediction missed · off by 69.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.