FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.99 – 53.85

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

254 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447 ±10.5

6100MS Mobots

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 26.78Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 118.53Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7160Ludington O-Bots

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 92.68Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 104.4 ±13.9

6098bIrobot

Season APEX 34.9Event APEX 11.9Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 12.35Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7810Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 47Event APEX 29.6Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6100, 5535, 7160

/ 100 compat

Projected

238 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6100, 5535, 7160

Auto

32.2 16%

Teleop

122.6 59%

Endgame

52.4 25%

Strengths

· 5535 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6098, 5182, 7810

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6098, 5182, 7810

Auto

10.2 19%

Teleop

26.3 49%

Endgame

17.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score238pts

Blue projected score53.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.1
Score range: 34–258
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 113.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447Season APEX104.4

32.2Auto10.2

122.6Teleop26.3

52.4Endgame17.5

69Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	18
teleop	172	19
endgame	44	23
foul	0	0
total	254	60

Result

Final score

254 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.