FIM District Ferris State Event presented by Ferris State University

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.8 – 177.37

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.5 ±12.8

5162The Big Red Theory

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 14.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7109Clare Chaos Theory

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX -14.58Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 105.51Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.9 ±11

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 90.6Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6122Potential Energy

Season APEX 61Event APEX 37.79Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3618Petoskey Paladins

Season APEX 92.6Event APEX 48.98Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5162, 7109, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5162, 7109, 5535

Auto

29.3 39%

Teleop

44.3 58%

Endgame

2.3 3%

Strengths

· 5535 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 288, 6122, 3618

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 288, 6122, 3618

Auto

32.1 17%

Teleop

121.1 64%

Endgame

36.8 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.8pts

Blue projected score177.4pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample194alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.6
Score range: 85–198
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 115.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.5Season APEX280.9

29.3Auto32.1

44.3Teleop121.1

2.3Endgame36.8

19Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	19
teleop	80	124
endgame	33	56
foul	0	0
total	135	199

Result

Final score

135 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.