Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.51 – 47.61
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
64 – 32
Prediction missed · off by 28.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 153.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 34.9Event APEX -17.45Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 15.49Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 25.47Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.2 ±13.9
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 12.56Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 7.7Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 27.35Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6098, 5247, 9673
31
/ 100 compatProjected
23.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6098, 5247, 9673
Auto
6.8 28%
Teleop
7.2 30%
Endgame
10.1 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9731, 5183, 7109
43
/ 100 compatProjected
47.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9731, 5183, 7109
Auto
7.0 15%
Teleop
22.5 48%
Endgame
16.9 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.5pts
Blue projected score47.6pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample194alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -24.1
- Score range
- 3–69
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
153.5Season APEX136.2
6.8Auto7
7.2Teleop22.5
10.1Endgame16.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 12 |
| teleop | 17 | 14 |
| endgame | 7 | 6 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 64 | 32 |
Result
Final score
64 – 32
Prediction missed · off by 28.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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