FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

222.79 – 193.92

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±9.9

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 32.76Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 73.15Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 116.88Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 478.5 ±9.5

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 79.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 22.92Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 91.8Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 3620, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 3620, 10633

Auto

39.2 17%

Teleop

123.6 55%

Endgame

61.4 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5462, 10473, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 10473, 503

Auto

48.8 26%

Teleop

101.4 53%

Endgame

40.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score222.8pts

Blue projected score193.9pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.9
Score range: 169–248
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 136.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.5Season APEX478.5

39.2Auto48.8

123.6Teleop101.4

61.4Endgame40.2

0Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	40
teleop	122	61
endgame	33	16
foul	15	5
total	241	122

Result

Final score

241 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Match videos

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