FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

386.46 – 147.81

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

407 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 49.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.6 ±10.2

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 173.81Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 24.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 188.03Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±10.5

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 7.38Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 67.11Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 73.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4237, 9758, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 9758, 6002

Auto

60.2 16%

Teleop

238.0 62%

Endgame

83.3 22%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9182, 302, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 302, 5535

Auto

26.1 19%

Teleop

79.7 57%

Endgame

35.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.48 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score386.5pts

Blue projected score147.8pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.7
Score range: 124–410
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 634 vs event baseline 134.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.6Season APEX355.2

60.2Auto26.1

238Teleop79.7

83.3Endgame35.1

0Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	50
teleop	231	118
endgame	95	59
foul	30	0
total	407	227

Result

Final score

407 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 49.9 pts

Match videos

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