FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.24 – 177.35

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±12.7

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 11.95Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 31.95Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX -0.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.7 ±11.6

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 55.25Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 55.42Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 66.68Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4325, 5927, 5182

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4325, 5927, 5182

Auto

15.9 38%

Teleop

18.4 43%

Endgame

8.1 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9208, 4855, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 4855, 2959

Auto

33.4 19%

Teleop

104.5 59%

Endgame

38.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.2pts

Blue projected score177.4pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -134.1
Score range: 19–201
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 134.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153Season APEX283.7

15.9Auto33.4

18.4Teleop104.5

8.1Endgame38.4

0Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	44
teleop	7	186
endgame	10	66
foul	0	0
total	36	296

Result

Final score

36 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 pts

Match videos

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