FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.9 – 124.73

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 80.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±9.9

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 23.66Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 64.99Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 107.25Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.5 ±12.7

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 43.08Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 33.24Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 48.41Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 3620, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 3620, 10633

Auto

35.2 18%

Teleop

109.9 55%

Endgame

53.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 74, 7809, 7814

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 7809, 7814

Auto

11.6 9%

Teleop

70.3 57%

Endgame

41.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.9pts

Blue projected score124.7pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.2
Score range: 101–220
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 424 vs event baseline 133.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.5Season APEX257.5

35.2Auto11.6

109.9Teleop70.3

53.4Endgame41.1

2Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	15
teleop	177	57
endgame	89	19
foul	5	5
total	328	96

Result

Final score

328 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 80.4 pts

Match videos

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