FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.96 – 182.26

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 163

Prediction missed · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±10.5

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 3.3Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 63.36Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 69.3Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.7 ±11.6

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 56.47Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 57.61Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 68.18Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9182, 302, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

136 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 302, 5535

Auto

26.1 20%

Teleop

72.7 56%

Endgame

31.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9208, 4855, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 4855, 2959

Auto

35.6 20%

Teleop

109.0 60%

Endgame

36.3 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136pts

Blue projected score182.3pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.3
Score range: 112–206
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 133.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.2Season APEX283.7

26.1Auto35.6

72.7Teleop109

31.4Endgame36.3

13Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	26
teleop	109	91
endgame	45	46
foul	10	0
total	190	163

Result

Final score

190 – 163

Prediction missed · off by 36.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.