FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

372.66 – 45.61

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

442 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.6 ±10.2

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 168.14Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 20.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 183.9Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±12.7

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 12.26Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 32.96Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 0.39Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4237, 9758, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

372.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 9758, 6002

Auto

60.8 17%

Teleop

224.7 61%

Endgame

81.2 22%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4325, 5927, 5182

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4325, 5927, 5182

Auto

15.8 34%

Teleop

21.7 47%

Endgame

8.5 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score372.7pts

Blue projected score45.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 327.1
Score range: 22–397
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 480 vs event baseline 131.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.6Season APEX153

60.8Auto15.8

224.7Teleop21.7

81.2Endgame8.5

6Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	17
teleop	293	11
endgame	91	5
foul	0	5
total	442	38

Result

Final score

442 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 pts

Match videos

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