FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

389.63 – 226.64

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

343 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 79.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.6 ±10.2

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 174.54Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 25.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 189.47Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.5 ±9.9

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 33.89Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 74.25Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 118.5Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4237, 9758, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 9758, 6002

Auto

58.2 15%

Teleop

236.3 62%

Endgame

85.7 23%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6548, 3620, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 3620, 10633

Auto

44.4 20%

Teleop

124.0 55%

Endgame

57.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score389.6pts

Blue projected score226.6pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163
Score range: 202–415
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 682 vs event baseline 137.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.6Season APEX498.5

58.2Auto44.4

236.3Teleop124

85.7Endgame57.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	52
teleop	161	223
endgame	126	59
foul	5	5
total	343	339

Result

Final score

343 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 79.5 pts

Match videos

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