FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

181.5 – 196.18

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 478.5 ±9.5

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 75.29Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 18.72Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 87.49Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.7 ±11.6

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 61.63Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 60.54Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 74.01Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5462, 10473, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 10473, 503

Auto

47.0 26%

Teleop

94.4 53%

Endgame

36.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9208, 4855, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 4855, 2959

Auto

34.8 18%

Teleop

117.6 60%

Endgame

43.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score181.5pts

Blue projected score196.2pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.7
Score range: 157–221
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 137.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

478.5Season APEX283.7

47Auto34.8

94.4Teleop117.6

36.4Endgame43.2

42Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	47
teleop	50	126
endgame	33	40
foul	15	0
total	138	213

Result

Final score

138 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.