FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.86 – 63.35

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 96.7 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.5 ±10.7

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 12.57Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 60Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 24.29Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 168.8 ±13.3

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 23.64Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 27.14Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 12.57Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10473, 6002, 4325

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10473, 6002, 4325

Auto

24.3 25%

Teleop

58.6 60%

Endgame

14.0 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5227, 2959, 5182

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 2959, 5182

Auto

23.4 37%

Teleop

34.0 54%

Endgame

5.4 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.9pts

Blue projected score63.4pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.5
Score range: 47–113
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 89.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.5Season APEX168.8

24.3Auto23.4

58.6Teleop34

14Endgame5.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	7
teleop	136	10
endgame	72	2
foul	0	10
total	256	29

Result

Final score

256 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 96.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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