Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
76.95 – 58.52
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 137
Prediction missed · off by 56.2 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 11.43Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 21.62Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 43.9Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 67Event APEX 29.78Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 11.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 15.8Event APEX 17.31Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10642, 302, 11491
61
/ 100 compatProjected
76.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10642, 302, 11491
Auto
27.4 36%
Teleop
30.6 40%
Endgame
18.3 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5927, 5462, 7203
50
/ 100 compatProjected
58.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5927, 5462, 7203
Auto
23.3 43%
Teleop
18.4 34%
Endgame
13.0 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.9pts
Blue projected score58.5pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 18.4
- Score range
- 43–93
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
270.2Season APEX278.7
27.4Auto23.3
30.6Teleop18.4
18.3Endgame13
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 29 |
| teleop | 7 | 84 |
| endgame | 13 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 137 |
Result
Final score
43 – 137
Prediction missed · off by 56.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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