FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

154.84 – 118.56

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 292

Prediction missed · off by 104.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±11.1

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 112.28Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 17.04Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 25.52Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.8 ±9.9

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 49.81Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 51.61Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 17.14Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10633, 4325, 6548

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10633, 4325, 6548

Auto

22.8 14%

Teleop

96.3 61%

Endgame

39.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 302, 3620, 10473

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 302, 3620, 10473

Auto

27.1 23%

Teleop

61.7 52%

Endgame

29.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.8pts

Blue projected score118.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.3
Score range: 96–178
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 130.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.4Season APEX472.8

22.8Auto27.1

96.3Teleop61.7

39.8Endgame29

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	78
teleop	52	136
endgame	22	73
foul	5	5
total	119	292

Result

Final score

119 – 292

Prediction missed · off by 104.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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