FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.5 – 110.45

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 60 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.7 ±13.3

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 10.97Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 6.28Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 38.25Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.5 ±12.2

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 12.9Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 30.99Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 66.56Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1940, 11511, 74

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1940, 11511, 74

Auto

19.5 38%

Teleop

18.4 35%

Endgame

14.0 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11399, 5927, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11399, 5927, 5535

Auto

29.8 28%

Teleop

55.2 51%

Endgame

23.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score55.5pts

Blue projected score110.5pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.9
Score range: 33–133
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 128.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.7Season APEX249.5

19.5Auto29.8

18.4Teleop55.2

14Endgame23.1

43Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	23
teleop	77	110
endgame	31	25
foul	0	0
total	128	158

Result

Final score

128 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 60 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.