Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
44.85 – 77.71
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
19 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 33.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±13.9
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 9.14Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 21.71Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 14Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 124 ±13.3
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 16.86Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 21.71Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 39.14Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1504, 11511, 11399
46
/ 100 compatProjected
44.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1504, 11511, 11399
Auto
11.4 27%
Teleop
17.7 42%
Endgame
12.9 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1940, 9182, 7809
62
/ 100 compatProjected
77.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1940, 9182, 7809
Auto
20.0 27%
Teleop
34.6 46%
Endgame
20.3 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score44.9pts
Blue projected score77.7pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -32.9
- Score range
- 27–96
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
171.1Season APEX124
11.4Auto20
17.7Teleop34.6
12.9Endgame20.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 3 | 12 |
| teleop | 4 | 19 |
| endgame | 12 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 19 | 37 |
Result
Final score
19 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 33.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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