FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.58 – 197.54

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 483.2 ±9.8

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 56.82Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 17.59Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 56.17Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.9 ±12

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 176.9Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 26.73Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX -6.09Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2960, 10666, 3452

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2960, 10666, 3452

Auto

30.2 25%

Teleop

60.1 50%

Endgame

29.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 7809, 5182

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 7809, 5182

Auto

33.9 18%

Teleop

106.4 55%

Endgame

52.0 27%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.6pts

Blue projected score197.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67
Score range: 108–221
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 454 vs event baseline 126.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

483.2Season APEX329.9

30.2Auto33.9

60.1Teleop106.4

29.5Endgame52

6Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	34
teleop	91	164
endgame	45	90
foul	5	0
total	166	288

Result

Final score

166 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 62.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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