FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

84.31 – 68.09

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 13.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.1 ±12.7

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 20.69Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 6.39Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 57.23Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.1 ±12.8

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 57.53Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 8.84Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 1.72Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5227, 10642, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 10642, 9208

Auto

28.9 34%

Teleop

35.8 42%

Endgame

20.5 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4855, 6588, 2604

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4855, 6588, 2604

Auto

19.6 27%

Teleop

39.1 53%

Endgame

14.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.3pts

Blue projected score68.1pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.2
Score range: 45–107
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 127.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.1Season APEX217.1

28.9Auto19.6

35.8Teleop39.1

20.5Endgame14.7

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	27
teleop	26	51
endgame	34	12
foul	5	0
total	89	90

Result

Final score

89 – 90

Prediction missed · off by 13.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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