FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

17.53 – 50.09

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

44 – 30

Prediction missed · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 97.7 ±13.9

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 22.54Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -10.19Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 5.18Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 159.7 ±13.3

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 24.99Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 7.16Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 17.94Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9758, 7203, 11491

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9758, 7203, 11491

Auto

11.3 100%

Teleop

5.7 68%

Endgame

-8.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1504, 9182, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1504, 9182, 9549

Auto

11.3 23%

Teleop

26.3 54%

Endgame

10.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score17.5pts

Blue projected score50.1pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.6
Score range: -5–73
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 74 vs event baseline 128.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

97.7Season APEX159.7

11.3Auto11.3

5.7Teleop26.3

-8.6Endgame10.8

11Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	9
teleop	11	7
endgame	10	9
foul	10	5
total	44	30

Result

Final score

44 – 30

Prediction missed · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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