FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.79 – 99.84

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

181 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 65 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.1 ±11.7

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 15.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 6.96Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 110.77Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±12.7

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 59.14Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 27.07Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 13.63Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10473, 1940, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10473, 1940, 10633

Auto

27.1 20%

Teleop

73.6 55%

Endgame

33.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7814, 4325, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7814, 4325, 11511

Auto

15.8 16%

Teleop

51.2 52%

Endgame

30.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.8pts

Blue projected score99.8pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.9
Score range: 77–156
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 129.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.1Season APEX212.9

27.1Auto15.8

73.6Teleop51.2

33.8Endgame30.9

28Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	1
teleop	91	15
endgame	51	2
foul	0	0
total	181	18

Result

Final score

181 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 65 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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