FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

50.82 – 0.92

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

40 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 13 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.7 ±13.9

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 26.55Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 10.99Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 13.28Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 96.5 ±13.3

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 6.5Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 0.39Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX -5.97Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7809, 6588, 11399

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7809, 6588, 11399

Auto

8.9 17%

Teleop

26.0 51%

Endgame

16.5 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10642, 2604, 5182

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10642, 2604, 5182

Auto

10.8 100%

Teleop

-10.1 0%

Endgame

0.6 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.8pts

Blue projected score0.9pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.9
Score range: -22–74
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 56 vs event baseline 130.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.7Season APEX96.5

8.9Auto10.8

26Teleop-10.1

16.5Endgame0.6

11Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	15
teleop	14	0
endgame	10	1
foul	0	0
total	40	16

Result

Final score

40 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 13 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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